The LA25 raises money for Manhattan Beach Roundhouse Aquarium with ART90266 art auction.

June 06, 2012

The LA25, a community networking group formed in 2010 in the South Bay of Los Angeles, is delighted to have raised just under $15,000 for Manhattan Beach based Roundhouse Marine Studies Lab and Aquarium through its first annual Art Auction: ART90266.

The event was held in late October 2011 at the Shade Hotel in Manhattan Beach and drew a crowd of art collectors, artists and a community of people devoted to making Manhattan Beach the best it can be. Our beneficiary for 2011, The Roundhouse Aquarium has been providing education and a place for people to experience the Marine Life of our South Bay for decades from the end of the Manhattan Beach Pier. The staff of The Roundhouse marine Studies Lab has enjoyed the support of hundreds of volunteers as they continue to reach out into our local communities and throughout Southern California to teach our children about the interwoven nature of life both in and out of our oceans as well as the growing effects of global warming on that delicate system.

LA25 is honored to have made its contribution to this valuable resource, looks forward to seeing this non-profit thrive and encourages everyone to learn more about the work of the Roundhouse Marine Studies Lab and Aquarium at: http://www.roundhouseaquarium.org/

LA25 wants to extend their deepest gratitude to the many organizations who contributed to make this event such an enormous success including: Avery Video Productions http:// averyjproductions.com/, VOX DJ’s: www.voxdjs.com, Paolucci Communication Arts: http://paoluccicommarts.com/, Pur Luxe Event Planning, www.PurLuxe.com, The Shade Hotel: http://www.shadehotel.com/, 2 for 1 Frame Store in Redondo Beach, and the members of LA25: http://www.thela25.com

We are also deeply in debt to the many generous artists, without whose gifts, this event would not have been possible, including: Anthony Friedkin, Robert Glen Ketchum, Lucian Capellaro, Bo Bridges, Tricia Strickfaden, Kathryn Henneman, Brian Kingston, Bob Waxman, Paul Sargeant, Lauren Pressey, and Al Satterwhite who not only donated two spectacular photographs for the auction, and helped recruit several of the other artists, but also photographed the children at the Aquarium for an entire day - all free of charge. Thanks to you all for sharing your gifts and your livelihood with the community of Manhattan Beach.

John Capellaro, Art90266 Chair, 2011

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Implications If Greece Exits The Euro

June 11, 2012

Presented by Eric C. Pritz, CFP®, CMFC

If Greece leaves the eurozone in the coming months, what kind of financial ripples could reach America?

Nobody can predict the endgame yet; Greece may even stay in the euro, although that is looking less and less likely. The big concern isn’t what happens in Greece – it is about what could happen in Spain or Italy as a result of what happens in Greece.

The effects from a Greek default (and eurozone exit) would likely be felt on four fronts in America – but first, an economic chain reaction would almost certainly play out in Europe.

A Greek default could imperil Spain & Italy. If Greece leaves the euro, then Greek bondholders lose their money. A crisis of confidence in the euro could prompt institutional investors to either walk away or demand even higher interest rates on Italian and Spanish bonds. The European Central Bank could then step up and provide emergency lending, bond buying and recapitalization efforts. If those efforts were to fall short, the worst-case scenario would be a default in Italy and/or Spain.

It could also hurt U.S. banks that aren’t sensibly hedged. If Italy and/or Spain default, a severe downturn could hit EU economies and U.S. lenders would be looking at a huge potential problem. If they are capably hedged against the turmoil in the EU, they could possibly ride through it without a lot of damage. If it turns out they have made foolishly speculative bets (cf. Lehman Brothers, JPMorgan), you could have a big wave of fear, which in the worst scenario would foster a credit freeze reminiscent of 2008. Would the Fed step in again to unfreeze things? Presumably so. Without its intervention, you could have a Darwinian scenario play out in the U.S. banking sector, and few economists and investors would see benefit in that.

The good news (relatively speaking) is that U.S. banks have cut their exposure to Greece by more than 40% as that country’s sovereign debt crisis has unfolded. Pension funds and insurers have joined them.1

Stocks could fall sharply & the dollar could soar. The greenback would become a premier “safe haven” if foreign investors lose faith in the euro. At the same time, a crisis of confidence would imply big losses for equities (and by extension, the retirement savings accounts and portfolios of retail investors).

U.S. companies could be hurt by fewer exports to Europe. Right now, 19% of U.S. exports are shipped to EU nations. If a deep EU recession occurs, demand presumably lessens for those exports and that would hurt our factories. If institutional investors run from the euro, it would also make U.S. exports more costly for Europeans.
Additionally, the EU is the top trading partner to both the U.S. and China; as Deutsche Bank notes, the EU accounts for 25% of global trade.2

Our recovery could be hindered. Picture higher gas prices, a markedly lower Dow, the jobless rate increasing again. In other words: a double dip.

In mid-May, economists polled by Reuters forecast 2.3% growth for the U.S. economy in 2012 and 2.4% growth in 2013. These economists also believe that were the fate of Greece not on the table, U.S. GDP might prove to be .1-.5% higher.2

If politicians play their cards right, we may see better outcomes. For example, Greece could elect a new government that decides to abide by the requested austerity cuts linked to EU/IMF bailout money. Greece could remain in the EU and banks in Spain, Italy, Germany and France could ride through the storm thanks to sufficient capital injections. Global stocks would be pressured, but maybe on the level of 2011 rather than 2008. (Maybe the impact wouldn’t even be that bad.)

In a rockier storyline, Greece becomes the brat of the EU – a newly radical government rejects the bailout terms set by the EU and IMF, Greece leaves the EU and starts printing drachmas again. The EU, IMF and maybe even the Federal Reserve act rapidly to stabilize the EU banking sector. Early firefighting by central banks results in containment of the crisis after several days of shock, with U.S. markets recovering in decent time (yet with investors still nervous about Italy and Spain).

Containment may be the key. If a Greek default can be averted or made orderly by the EU and the IMF, then the impact on Wall Street may not be as major as some analysts fear – and who knows, the U.S. markets might even end up pricing it in. Greece only represents 2% of eurozone GDP; our exports and credit exposure to Greece are minimal at this juncture. Our money market funds have mostly stopped investing in Europe. So with diplomacy and contingency planning afoot, a “Grexit” might do less damage to the world economy than some analysts believe.2

Eric C. Pritz may be reached at 310-712-2349 or epritz@seia.com

The information presented is not intended as tax, legal or financial advice, and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. You are encouraged to seek such advice from your professional advisors. The content is derived from sources believed to be accurate. Neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Article written and provided by marketinglibrary.net, Inc. Copyright 2011 marketinglibrary.net, Inc. Registered Representative/Securities Offered through Signator Investors, Inc., Member FINRA, SIPC, 2121 Ave of the Stars, Suite 1600, Los Angeles, CA 90067 (310)712-2323. SEIA, LLC and its investment advisory services are offered independent of Signator Investors, Inc. and any subsidiaries or affiliates. SEIA-06042012-00770

Citations.
1 - www.csmonitor.com/USA/Latest-News-Wires/2012/0514/Greece-s-economic-woes... [5/14/12]
2 - www.cnbc.com/id/47562567 [5/25/12]

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